The Berenberg economics team led by Holger Schmieding produced this striking chart, showing how interest-rate expectations ...

Friday’s import/export data may reveal early signs of tariff-driven inflation, potentially outweighing CPI and PPI in market ...

Housing inflation moves up and down at glacial speed due to how the government measures it, economists said. Such data quirks mask positive news in the real-time rental market, which has seen ...

Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate This paper revisits the question of the real effects of inflation, on the basis ...

Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, ...

Annual inflation slowed last month, showing that the economy was moving in the right direction before President Donald Trump's tariff moves renewed fears that a trade war would increase consumer ...

Wage growth has surpassed the inflation rate over the last year, meaning consumers have been able to buy more with their paychecks. So-called real average hourly earnings rose 0.5% from April 2023 ...