Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more ...

Statistician Nate Silver criticized pollsters during a Thursday podcast for “cheating” through a practice called “herding,” ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala ...

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it’s not because polling or ...

Enthusiasm among voters will likely sway the results, particularly in key battleground states, the polling expert says.

The remaining 270 simulations resulted in an Electoral College tie, Silver said, adding that he would usually only run 40,000 simulations. Nate Silver has shared his final polling model for the ...

Where once Democrats could rely on the votes of Hispanic Americans, Trump has swung them across to the Republicans in big ...