News

This striking chart shows a 'broken relationship' between inflation and interest-rate expectations
The Berenberg economics team led by Holger Schmieding produced this striking chart, showing how interest-rate expectations ...
Fed Officials Remain Focused On Possibility Tariffs Will Spur Inflation
If you're waiting for the Federal Reserve to lower borrowing costs, don't hold your breath. Out of the multiple Federal ...
NY Fed's 'Multivariate Core Trend' Inflation Measure Hits 3.0%, Worst In Over A Year, Predicts Acceleration Of PCE Price Index
The Multivariate Core Trend inflation rate for March accelerated to 3.0% YoY, the worst reading since February 2024, ...
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as Fed holds rates steady, Powell sticks to 'wait and see'
On Wednesday afternoon, the Fed left interest rates unchanged at a range of 4.25% to 4.5% for the third straight meeting. The ...
Federal Reserve official sees signs of slowing economy but not ready to cut rates
WASHINGTON (AP) — A top Federal Reserve official said Friday that massive uncertainty created by President Donald Trump’s tariffs has caused some businesses to cut back on hiring and spending, ...
Fiscal Flows, Bank Credit, And The Fed For May
Federal tax collections and tariff policies in April 2025 drained market liquidity, signaling SPX risks and calling for cautious investment heading into Q3.
DXY Index: Chart shows the US Dollar Index crash is not over yet
This article explores why the US dollar index has formed an inverse cup and handle pattern ahead of the FOMC decision.
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Core PCE Holds at 2.8%—Will Sticky Inflation Delay Fed Rate Cuts?
If inflation remains sticky, the Fed could delay or reduce the number of expected rate cuts this year ... specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on ...